Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-0 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.