Russian Premier League | Gameweek 24
Apr 14, 2024 at 10am UK
Stadion Gazovik
Orenburg3 - 1Nizhny Novgorod
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Nizhny Novgorod.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Orenburg 3-0 Rubin Kazan
Monday, April 8 at 3pm in Russian Premier League
Monday, April 8 at 3pm in Russian Premier League
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 3-4 Krasnodar
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Orenburg | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
56.21% ( 0.1) | 24.82% ( -0.05) | 18.98% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 44.86% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.96% ( 0.14) | 56.04% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.88% ( 0.12) | 77.12% ( -0.11) |
Orenburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.11% ( 0.09) | 19.89% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.99% ( 0.15) | 52.01% ( -0.15) |
Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.99% ( 0.03) | 44.01% ( -0.03) |