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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Sep 13, 2020 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Marseille

PSG
0 - 1
Marseille


Neymar (11'), Florenzi (13'), Bernat (52'), Paredes (72'), di Maria (74')
Kurzawa (90+7'), Paredes (90+7'), Neymar (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thauvin (31')
Sakai (7'), Payet (11'), Gueye (38'), Gonzalez (50'), Lopez (61'), Benedetto (71'), Strootman (90+1')
Amavi (90+7'), Benedetto (90+7')

Preview: Paris Saint-Germain vs. Marseille - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Marseille, including team news and predicted lineups.

The pick of the fixtures in gameweek three of the 2020-21 Ligue 1 campaign takes place on Sunday evening as champions Paris Saint-Germain play host to Marseille in Le Classique.

PSG suffered a shock 1-0 defeat to Lens in their first game of the season, whereas Marseille marked their return to action with a 3-2 win over Brest.


Match preview

PSG boss Thomas Tuchel on October 18, 2019© Reuters

PSG's squad has been decimated by several coronavirus cases in the past week or so, and the Champions League runners-up fielded a heavily inexperienced team for their inaugural game of the season against newly-promoted Lens.

Thomas Tuchel was forced to witness his side succumb to a 1-0 loss against the Ligue 1 returnees on Thursday night, and there is little time for PSG to dwell on that lowly defeat as they try to recover for the weekend showdown with Marseille.

Defeat to Lens ended a run of 15 games unbeaten in the French top flight for the champions, who also failed to score in a league match for the first time in nearly a year, but Tuchel insisted that his side were never likely to come up trumps given their disturbed summer.

A fourth straight Ligue 1 title will be well within PSG's sights when some of their most prized assets return to action, but the champions certainly do not want to be playing catch-up as the season gathers pace.

PSG are now returning to familiar surroundings at the Parc des Princes, where they have notched up at least three goals in every Ligue 1 fixture since the turn of the year and only recorded one defeat in their last 33 outings.

Andre Villas-Boas in charge of Marseille on February 8, 2020© Reuters

Meanwhile, Marseille were also feeling the impact of the pandemic as they suffered an outbreak of their own before taking to the pitch for the new season.

However, Andre Villas-Boas's side still managed to come out on top against Brest in their first game of the campaign, but Marseille were certainly made to work for their 3-2 victory a fortnight ago.

Marseille ended the curtailed 2019-20 season 12 points adrift of PSG, albeit having played a game more, and it would take something truly spectacular for the challengers to knock the champions off their perch amid the mayhem caused by the ongoing viral outbreak.

A victory for Les Olympiens this weekend would be sure to send their loyal supporters into delirium once again – no-one can forget the scenes on the streets when PSG fell short in the Champions League final – much to the delight of the Marseille faithful.

PSG have won the last five meetings between the two French powerhouses in all competitions, with Marseille's most recent victory against their rivals coming in the 2011-12 campaign.

Paris Saint-Germain Ligue 1 form: L

Marseille Ligue 1 form: W


Team News

Paris Saint-Germain forward Kylian Mbappe pictured on August 22, 2020© Reuters

Owing to a number of COVID-19 cases, PSG will have to make do without Kylian Mbappe, Mauro Icardi, and Marquinhos once again.

Neymar, Angel Di Maria, Keylor Navas and Leandro Paredes are in contention to feature this weekend having recovered, but the quartet are not expected to be thrown back into the starting XI straight away.

Julian Draxler also remains a doubt after missing out the clash with Lens through injury, but Sergio Rico is available for this one and is expected to replace Marcin Bulka in goal.

As far as Marseille are concerned, the visitors have a relatively clean bill of health ahead of Le Classique, with the only confirmed absentee being Bouna Sarr.

Villas-Boas revealed that Morgan Sanson was forced to miss training on Friday with a minor injury, but the midfielder should be fine for Sunday's showdown.

Duje Caleta-Car, who bagged a brace in Marseille's victory over Brest, is set to be partnered in defence by either Leonardo Balerdi or Alvaro Gonzalez.

Paris Saint-Germain possible starting lineup:
Rico; Kehrer, Diallo, Kimpembe, Bernat; Gueye, Verratti, Herrera; Sarabia, Kalimuendo, Jese

Marseille possible starting lineup:
Mandanda; Sakai, Caleta-Car, Balerdi, Amavi; Kamara, Sanson, Strootman; Thauvin, Benedetto, Payet


SM words green background

We say: Paris Saint-Germain 0-2 Marseille

This season's first Classique is certainly set to be one of the more unconventional showdowns in the two clubs' illustrious histories. PSG are still without a number of starters and have had little time to recover from their dismal defeat to Lens, and while the champions boast a number of promising youngsters in their ranks, a full-strength Marseille side will simply have too much for them and we are backing the visitors to triumph in convincing fashion on Sunday.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 14.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Marseille win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between PSG and Marseille?

PSG
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Draw
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Marseille
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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