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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Boavista

Nacional
0 - 0
Boavista


Dias (11'), Jorge Rocha Simao (82')
FT

Injai Gomes (20'), Silva (47'), Margarido (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-0 Nacional
Sunday, November 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Boavista

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, November 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Nacional 1-1 Boavista

 It has been a difficult start to the campaign for Nacional and Boavista, who find themselves scrambling for points at the wrong end of the table after 11 rounds of matches.  Boavista's form on the road has been nothing to write home about this year and we see them struggling at the Estadio da Madeira once again.  Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawBoavista
39.69% (0.318 0.32) 25.39% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 34.92% (-0.38 -0.38)
Both teams to score 56.17% (-0.283 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.38% (-0.338 -0.34)47.62% (0.34 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.18% (-0.314 -0.31)69.82% (0.316 0.32)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27% (0.013000000000005 0.01)23.73% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.14% (0.019000000000005 0.02)57.86% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (-0.38199999999999 -0.38)26.36% (0.384 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.5% (-0.514 -0.51)61.5% (0.517 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 39.69%
    Boavista 34.92%
    Draw 25.38%
NacionalDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 9% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.095 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 39.69%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.34% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 34.92%

How you voted: Nacional vs Boavista

Nacional
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Boavista
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 18
Boavista
0-1
Nacional

Garcia (73')
Garcia (74')
Santos (43' og.)
Pedrao (35'), Gorre (71'), Azouni (79'), Piscitelli (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 1
Nacional
3-3
Boavista
Riascos (28'), Victor (36'), Camacho (90+1')
Kalindi (26'), Freitas (55'), Thill (82'), Rochez (90+5')
Sauer (19', 61'), Mangas (45+2')
Santos (22'), Gomes (64'), Awaziem (90+4')
Apr 14, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Boavista
1-0
Nacional
Espinho (16')
Bracalli (90')

Kalindi (27')
Dec 9, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 12
Nacional
0-0
Boavista
Marakis (46'), Goncalves (69')
Indio (25'), Carraca (48')
May 6, 2017 4pm
Boavista
2-2
Nacional
Medeiros (36'), Espinho (45' pen.)
Sampaio (84')
Mezga (28'), Hamzaoui (42')
Sequeira (40'), Washington (45'), Hamzaoui (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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