Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.