Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.