Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
3 - 1
West Ham

Foden (2', 18'), Rodri (59')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Kudus (42')
Alvarez (75')

'I'm closer to leaving than staying' - Pep Guardiola hints at Manchester City exit

Pep Guardiola admits he is "closer to leaving than staying" at Manchester City after leading the club to a record fourth consecutive Premier League title.

May 19, 22:51

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola celebrates after winning the Premier League on May 19, 2024

'They are here to stay' - Pep Guardiola insists Mikel Arteta's Arsenal will come back stronger next season

Pep Guardiola is confident that Mikel Arteta's Arsenal side will continue to challenge his Manchester City team for the Premier League title for "many years".

May 19, 23:05

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp and Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on April 10, 2022

'He's been a really important part of my life' - Pep Guardiola pays emotional tribute to Jurgen Klopp

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pays an emotional tribute to Liverpool's departing boss Jurgen Klopp following his final match in charge of the Reds at Anfield on Sunday.

May 19, 23:24

West Ham United manager David Moyes pictured on May 19, 2024

'We've seen a lot more light than darkness' - David Moyes reflects on West Ham United reign

David Moyes says he has enjoyed a "successful time" as West Ham United manager and believes the club have 'seen a lot more of the light than the darkness' during his four-year spell in charge.

May 19, 23:51

Manchester City's Josko Gvardiol celebrates scoring their first goal with Rodri and Bernardo Silva on May 11, 2024

Manchester City star claims Arsenal lacked the 'mentality' to win Premier League title

Manchester City's Rodri claims Arsenal lacked the 'mentality' to win the Premier League title and criticises the Gunners for not wanting to beat them at the Etihad Stadium earlier this season.

May 20, 12:40

Manchester City's Erling Haaland celebrates with the trophy after winning the Premier League on May 19, 2024

Erling Haaland comments on winning second successive Premier League Golden Boot

Manchester City striker Erling Haaland reacts to winning a second successive Premier League Golden Boot after scoring 27 goals in the 2023-24 campaign.

May 20, 14:22

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Spurs 0-2 Man City
Tuesday, May 14 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Ham United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Luton
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 86.64%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 4.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.26%) and 3-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.58%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	West Ham United
86.64% ( -1.19)	8.57% ( 0.86)	4.79% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 55.2% (

-3.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

81.86% (

-3.57)

18.14% (

3.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

64.61% (

-5.47)

35.39% (

5.48)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.25% (

-0.64)

2.75% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

87.37% (

-2.39)

12.63% (

2.4)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.76% (

-2.87)

43.24% (

2.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.51% (

-2.51)

79.49% (

2.51)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 86.64%

West Ham United 4.79%

Draw 8.57%

Manchester City	Draw	West Ham United
3-0 @ 9.2% ( 1.05) 4-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( 1.35) 4-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.69) 5-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.53) 1-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.99) 6-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.12) 6-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.56) 4-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.33) 5-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.41) 7-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.33) 7-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.42) 6-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.36) Other @ 5.87% Total : 86.64%	1-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.19% Total : 8.57%	1-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 1% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.29% Total : 4.79%