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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
London Stadium
Luton Town

West Ham
3 - 1
Luton

Ward-Prowse (54'), Soucek (65'), Earthy (76')
Palmieri (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sambi Lokonga (6')
Barkley (10'), Burke (79'), Morris (83')

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town's Premier League survival chances are left in tatters courtesy of a 3-1 defeat to West Ham United at the London Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between West Ham United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Everton
Friday, May 3 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawLuton Town
64.05% (-0.562 -0.56) 18.68% (0.221 0.22) 17.26% (0.339 0.34)
Both teams to score 61.75% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.82% (-0.453 -0.45)32.18% (0.452 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.23% (-0.532 -0.53)53.77% (0.529 0.53)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (-0.258 -0.26)9.57% (0.2569 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.98% (-0.60600000000001 -0.61)32.02% (0.603 0.6)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (0.084000000000003 0.08)31.72% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (0.093999999999998 0.09)68.14% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 64.06%
    Luton Town 17.26%
    Draw 18.68%
West Ham UnitedDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.12% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 6.54% (-0.065 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.4% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 4.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.84% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.53% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-3 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 64.06%
1-1 @ 8.18% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 18.68%
1-2 @ 4.7% (0.082 0.08)
0-1 @ 3.49% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 2% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 17.26%

How you voted: West Ham vs Luton

West Ham United
58.9%
Draw
25.3%
Luton Town
15.8%
158
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Luton
1-2
West Ham
Andersen (90+2')
Nakamba (87')
Bowen (37'), Zouma (85')
Palmieri (81')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Luton
1-1
West Ham
Bradley (90')
Soucek (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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