Man City

5 - 1

Luton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 88.88%. A draw had a probability of 7.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 3.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.43%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (1.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.