Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 58.82%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.1%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (5.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.