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EFL Cup
Manchester City logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Liverpool logo

Man City
3 - 2
Liverpool

Braut Haaland (10'), Mahrez (47'), Ake (58')
Rodri (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carvalho (20'), Salah (48')
Bajcetic (35'), Fabinho (79'), Keita (83')

The Match

Match Report

Liverpool's EFL Cup defence ends in the fourth round at the hands of Manchester City, who edge a pulsating contest 3-2 at the Etihad to advance to the quarter-finals.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester City and Liverpool.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester City and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Thursday's EFL Cup fourth-round tie with Manchester City.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup contest with Manchester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Girona
Saturday, December 17 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Liverpool

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 AC Milan
Friday, December 16 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.79%) and 3-2 (4.98%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawLiverpool
46.78% (1.751 1.75) 20.95% (0.164 0.16) 32.27% (-1.917 -1.92)
Both teams to score 71.89% (-1.517 -1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.2% (-1.621 -1.62)26.79% (1.618 1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.77% (-2.083 -2.08)47.22% (2.081 2.08)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.6% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)12.4% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.71% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)38.28% (0.166 0.17)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-1.656 -1.66)17.93% (1.654 1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (-2.923 -2.92)48.75% (2.921 2.92)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 46.78%
    Liverpool 32.27%
    Draw 20.95%
Manchester CityDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.344 0.34)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.223 0.22)
3-2 @ 4.98% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.85% (0.448 0.45)
1-0 @ 4.64% (0.442 0.44)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.302 0.3)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.108 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.6% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.152 0.15)
4-3 @ 1.49% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.041 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 46.78%
1-1 @ 7.98% (0.353 0.35)
2-2 @ 7.15% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 2.85% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-0 @ 2.22% (0.218 0.22)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 20.95%
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-3 @ 4.1% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-1 @ 3.82% (0.18 0.18)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.76% (-0.228 -0.23)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-4 @ 1.23% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 32.27%

How you voted: Man City vs Liverpool

Manchester City
54.1%
Liverpool
45.9%
405
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 4.30pm
Liverpool
1-0
Man City
Salah (76')
Fabinho (63')
Jul 30, 2022 5pm
Final
Liverpool
3-1
Man City
Alexander-Arnold (21'), Salah (83' pen.), Nunez (90+4')
Nunez (90+5')
Alvarez (70')
Dias (83')
Apr 16, 2022 3.30pm
Semi-Finals
Man City
2-3
Liverpool
Grealish (47'), Silva (90+1')
Jesus (27'), Fernandinho (57')
Konate (9'), Mane (17', 45')
Fabinho (37'), Keita (48'), Mane (61')
Apr 10, 2022 4.30pm
Man City
2-2
Liverpool
De Bruyne (5'), Jesus (36')
Silva (40')
Jota (13'), Mane (46')
Robertson (28'), Alcantara (61'), Fabinho (83'), van Dijk (89')
Oct 3, 2021 4.30pm
Liverpool
2-2
Man City
Mane (59'), Salah (76')
Milner (42'), Jota (65'), Fabinho (83')
Foden (69'), De Bruyne (81')
Dias (26'), Cancelo (56'), Silva (78')
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City5410135813
2Liverpool5401101912
3Aston Villa5401107312
4Arsenal532083511
5Chelsea5311115610
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle531176110
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton52308449
8Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest52306429
9Fulham52217528
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford520379-26
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham511359-44
15Leicester CityLeicester503268-23
16Crystal Palace503247-33
17Ipswich TownIpswich503238-53
18Southampton501429-71
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves5014514-91
20Everton5014514-91
> Premier League Full Table


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