Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.