Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 2

Aug 21, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Falmer Stadium

Brighton
2 - 0
Watford

Duffy (10'), Maupay (41')
Webster (62'), Duffy (65'), Mwepu (86'), March (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

He's been fantastic - Graham Potter 'really happy' for rejuvenated Shane Duffy

Shane Duffy's thundering header and Neal Maupay's neat finish eased Brighton to a commanding victory against Watford.

Aug 21, 20:54

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Watford
42.78%	28.57%	28.65%

Both teams to score 44.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.36%

61.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.53%

81.47%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.44%

28.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.66%

64.34%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.1%

37.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.33%

74.67%

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 42.78%

Watford 28.64%

Draw 28.57%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 13.56% 2-0 @ 8.5% 2-1 @ 8.25% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.61% Total : 42.78%	1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 4% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.57%	0-1 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.67% Total : 28.64%