Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 66.41%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.