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Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2022 at 6pm UK
Mata Real
Portimonense

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 1
Portimonense

Possignolo (15' og.)
Pires (40'), Santos (41'), Delgado (60'), Antunes (84'), Carlos (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Junior (90+1')
Possignolo (22'), Pedrao (56'), Sapara (68'), Luquinhas (85'), Junior (90+8')

Preview: Pacos de Ferreira vs. Portimonense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

On a run of three consecutive draws, Pacos de Ferreira play host to Portimonense at the Estadio da Mata Real in round 21 of the Primeira Liga on Saturday.

The Alvinegros, on the other hand, head into the game on a run of six games without a win and will be looking to end this dry spell and strengthen their position in the top half of the table.


Match preview

Pacos de Ferreira's Denilson Pereira Junior is shown a red card by referee Vitor Ferreira on January 9, 2022© Reuters

Pacos de Ferreira were involved in a share of the spoils for the third game on the spin in the Primeira Liga last Monday when they were held to a goalless draw by Estoril Praia.

In a game where clear-cut chances were at a premium, Cesar Peixoto's men's struggles at the attacking end of the pitch were on display once again as they were guilty of a lack of cutting-edge in the final third and failed to really threaten the hosts.

The Pacenses have now failed to taste victory in any of their last four games, losing one and claiming three draws since a 2-1 win over Santa Clara in their final game of 2021.

They have also managed just two wins in their last 14 outings across all competitions and this has been owing to their lack of sting in attack, where they boast the division's second-poorest record with 14 goals.

With 20 points from 20 games so far, Pacos de Ferreira are 12th in the Primeira Liga standings, level on points with Tondela and three above Famalicao in the relegation playoff spot.

Meanwhile, Portimonense were left empty-handed once again as they suffered a 2-1 defeat against Tondela at the Estadio Municipal de Portimao.

In a game where Filipe Relvas received his marching orders, Paulo Sergio's side collapsed in the closing 10 minutes as Iker Undabarrena cancelled out Ivan Angulo's first-half opener in the 80th minute before Juan Manuel Boselli completed the comeback eight minutes later.

The Portimao-based outfit have now failed to taste victory in any of their last five games since seeing off Famalicao on penalties in the Taca de Portugal on December 12, losing four and claiming one draw in that time.

This poor run has been in no small part owing to their lack of defensive sturdiness as they have conceded 13 goals in that time, while scoring seven at the opposite end of the pitch.

For all their struggles, Portimonense could still rise to sixth place in the standings with all three points on Saturday having picked up 25 points after 20 rounds of matches.

Pacos de Ferreira Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D

Portimonense Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L

Portimonense form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L


Team News

Pacos de Ferreira's Fernando Fonseca reacts on January 9, 2022© Reuters

Pacos de Ferreira will have to make do without the services of Portuguese defender Jorge Silva, who picked up an injury in December's game against Tondela.

Fellow countryman Joao Vigario will also play no part in Saturday's game as he continues his spell on the sidelines after sustaining a knee problem back in August.

Another name on the Pacenses' injury table is Flavio, who picked up an injury against Tondela back in December.

Portimonense, meanwhile, will take to the pitch without Filipe Relvas after the 22-year-old picked up a straight red in the game against Tondela last time out.

In his absence, Lucas Possignolo should come into the fold and handle business at the heart of the defence alongside fellow countryman Pedrao.

On the injury front, Portimonense remain without the services of Achraf Lazaar, who has been out of action since last September through a fibula injury.

Pacos de Ferreira possible starting lineup:
Ferreira; Antunes, Lima, Baixinho, Delgado; Carlos, Pires; Uliton, Uilton, Santos; Denilson

Portimonense possible starting lineup:
Samuel; Possignolo, Pedrao, Rocha, Gomes; Fernandes, Oliveira, Angulo, Eweton; Nakajima, Aponza


SM words green background

We say: Pacos de Ferreira 2-0 Portimonense

Both sides have seen their form dip since the start of the year and will be looking to find their feet. The hosts head into the game unbeaten in their last five games against the visitors, claiming two wins and three draws in that time. While we expect a thrilling contest, we are tipping the hosts to come away with all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Portimonense

Pacos de Ferreira
61.5%
Draw
38.5%
Portimonense
0.0%
13
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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