Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 38.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.19%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Loughgall in this match.

Result
Loughgall	Draw	Dungannon Swifts
38.37% ( 0.84)	23.35% ( -0.14)	38.28% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 64% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.4% (

0.73)

37.6% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.16% (

0.78)

59.83% (

-0.78)

Loughgall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.02% (

0.73)

19.98% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.84% (

1.15)

52.16% (

-1.15)

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.98% (

-0.01)

20.02% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.77% (

-0.02)

52.22% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Loughgall 38.37%

Dungannon Swifts 38.28%

Draw 23.35%

Loughgall	Draw	Dungannon Swifts
2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.15% Total : 38.37%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.35%	1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.14% Total : 38.28%