Larne

2 - 1

Dungannon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 90.49%. A draw had a probability of 7.2% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 2.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.91%) and 4-0 (11.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.38%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (1.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.