Glenavon

1 - 3

Crusaders

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 17.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.