NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 20
Dec 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park
Larne4 - 1Glenavon
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Glenavon.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ballymena 0-0 Larne
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-1 Coleraine
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
22
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
Result | ||
Larne | Draw | Glenavon |
61.5% ( 0.95) | 20.53% ( -0.32) | 17.97% ( -0.63) |
Both teams to score 56.32% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.15% ( 0.45) | 39.85% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.79% ( 0.46) | 62.21% ( -0.46) |
Larne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.51% ( 0.41) | 12.49% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.53% ( 0.86) | 38.46% ( -0.86) |
Glenavon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.36% ( -0.42) | 35.64% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.59% ( -0.44) | 72.41% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Larne 61.5%
Glenavon 17.97%
Draw 20.53%
Larne | Draw | Glenavon |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.7% Total : 61.5% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.53% | 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.62% Total : 17.97% |
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
Feb 10, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-27 22:36:29
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | LinfieldLinfield | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
2 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 15 |
3 | LarneLarne | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 14 |
4 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
6 | ColeraineColeraine | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
7 | GlentoranGlentoran | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
8 | PortadownPortadown | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 12 |
9 | CrusadersCrusaders | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 10 |
10 | GlenavonGlenavon | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Loughgall | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 5 |
12 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 3 |
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