MX23RW : Thursday, April 10 01:53:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 25
Jan 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview
Larne

Crusaders
0 - 2
Larne


Joe Burns (26'), O'Rourke (34'), Forsythe (51'), Larmour (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomson (45+1'), Millar (82')
Bonis (29'), Orozco (58'), Ryan (63')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 0-1 Linfield
Tuesday, January 2 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 1-1 Linfield
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawLarne
26.96% (4.302 4.3) 24.96% (0.749 0.75) 48.09% (-5.047 -5.05)
Both teams to score 53.72% (2.03 2.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (0.568 0.57)49.06% (-0.562 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.86% (0.511 0.51)71.13% (-0.506 -0.51)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (4.001 4)32.48% (-3.998 -4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (4.263 4.26)69.01% (-4.257 -4.26)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (-1.813 -1.81)20.43% (1.818 1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11% (-2.967 -2.97)52.88% (2.972 2.97)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 26.96%
    Larne 48.09%
    Draw 24.95%
CrusadersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.616 0.62)
2-1 @ 6.66% (0.859 0.86)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.743 0.74)
3-1 @ 2.5% (0.547 0.55)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.343 0.34)
3-0 @ 1.57% (0.413 0.41)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 26.96%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.412 0.41)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 10.54% (-0.87 -0.87)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-2 @ 8.37% (-1.228 -1.23)
1-3 @ 4.98% (-0.442 -0.44)
0-3 @ 4.43% (-0.948 -0.95)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.301 -0.3)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.501 -0.5)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 48.09%

Head to Head
Dec 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Crusaders
0-3
Larne

Larmour (6'), Joe Burns (63'), O'Rourke (67')
Joe Burns (68')
Ryan (47', 68'), Bonis (53')
Oct 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Larne
1-1
Crusaders
Ives (63')
Donnelly (35'), Want (47')
Kennedy (80')
Anderson (45'), Heatley (51')
Apr 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crusaders
0-2
Larne
Ryan (12'), Bonis (62')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Larne
4-1
Crusaders
Bonis (9', 35'), Millar (14'), O'Neill (19')
Lowry (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1LinfieldLinfield35264566254182
2GlentoranGlentoran35169104334957
3LarneLarne351511942311156
4ColeraineColeraine351410115345852
5Dungannon SwiftsDungannon35156144744351
6CrusadersCrusaders35156144448-451
Relegation Round
1CliftonvilleCliftonville351571352381452
2PortadownPortadown35138144143-247
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena35144174549-446
4GlenavonGlenavon351010153645-940
5Carrick RangersCarrick3579192952-2330
6Loughgall3556243276-4421
 
Regular Season
1LinfieldLinfield33244561233876
2LarneLarne33159939281154
3GlentoranGlentoran3315994031954
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon33155134440450
5CrusadersCrusaders33155134143-250
6ColeraineColeraine331310104941849
7CliftonvilleCliftonville33137134437746
8PortadownPortadown33137133938146
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena33134164042-243
10GlenavonGlenavon33109143543-839
11Carrick RangersCarrick3369182448-2427
12Loughgall3346232971-4218


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