MX23RW : Thursday, April 24 23:31:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Apr 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview
Larne

Crusaders
0 - 2
Larne


Forsythe (6'), Thompson (34'), Lowry (38')
Joe Burns (38')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ryan (12'), Bonis (62')
Glynn (31'), Cosgrove (43'), Donnelly (61')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 3-1 Coleraine
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 0-2 Larne
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Larne had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
CrusadersDrawLarne
40.8% (0.034999999999997 0.03) 27.66% (-0.119 -0.12) 31.53% (0.087999999999997 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.06% (0.375 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.41% (0.46 0.46)57.59% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.64% (0.363 0.36)78.36% (-0.358 -0.36)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (0.238 0.24)27.71% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (0.303 0.3)63.27% (-0.298 -0.3)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (0.303 0.3)33.52% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84% (0.328 0.33)70.16% (-0.32299999999999 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 40.8%
    Larne 31.53%
    Draw 27.66%
CrusadersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 11.92% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 40.8%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.29% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 10.15% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.53%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Larne
0-0
Crusaders

Bonis (35'), O'Neill (50'), Glynn (63'), Want (84')

Joe Burns (17'), Caddell (35'), Hegarty (50'), Thompson (73')
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Larne
4-1
Crusaders
Bonis (9', 35'), Millar (14'), O'Neill (19')
Bolger (48')
Lowry (90+2')
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
1-1
Larne
Lowry (65')
(45+1'), Joe Burns (51'), Forsythe (57')
Millar (80')
Cosgrove (39'), Randall (57'), Bonis (90+3')
Randall (59')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Crusaders
1-2
Larne
Wilson (89')
McDaid (59', 72')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Larne
1-2
Crusaders
Jarvis (74')
(45'), (59'), (66')
Larmour (68'), Lecky (82')
(59'), (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1LinfieldLinfield37274669274285
2LarneLarne371711946331362
3GlentoranGlentoran371791149371260
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon37166155048254
5CrusadersCrusaders37166154752-554
6ColeraineColeraine371410135450452
Relegation Round
1CliftonvilleCliftonville371671454401455
2PortadownPortadown37158144644253
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena37145184652-647
4GlenavonGlenavon371110163847-943
5Carrick RangersCarrick37711193255-2332
6Loughgall3757253581-4622
 
Regular Season
1LinfieldLinfield33244561233876
2LarneLarne33159939281154
3GlentoranGlentoran3315994031954
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon33155134440450
5CrusadersCrusaders33155134143-250
6ColeraineColeraine331310104941849
7CliftonvilleCliftonville33137134437746
8PortadownPortadown33137133938146
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena33134164042-243
10GlenavonGlenavon33109143543-839
11Carrick RangersCarrick3369182448-2427
12Loughgall3346232971-4218


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!