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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Apr 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview
Larne

Crusaders
0 - 2
Larne


Forsythe (6'), Thompson (34'), Lowry (38')
Joe Burns (38')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ryan (12'), Bonis (62')
Glynn (31'), Cosgrove (43'), Donnelly (61')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 3-1 Coleraine
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 0-2 Larne
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Larne had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
CrusadersDrawLarne
40.8% (0.034999999999997 0.03) 27.66% (-0.119 -0.12) 31.53% (0.087999999999997 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.06% (0.375 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.41% (0.46 0.46)57.59% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.64% (0.363 0.36)78.36% (-0.358 -0.36)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (0.238 0.24)27.71% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (0.303 0.3)63.27% (-0.298 -0.3)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (0.303 0.3)33.52% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84% (0.328 0.33)70.16% (-0.32299999999999 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 40.8%
    Larne 31.53%
    Draw 27.66%
CrusadersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 11.92% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 40.8%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.29% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 10.15% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.53%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Larne
0-0
Crusaders

Bonis (35'), O'Neill (50'), Glynn (63'), Want (84')

Joe Burns (17'), Caddell (35'), Hegarty (50'), Thompson (73')
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Larne
4-1
Crusaders
Bonis (9', 35'), Millar (14'), O'Neill (19')
Bolger (48')
Lowry (90+2')
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
1-1
Larne
Lowry (65')
(45+1'), Joe Burns (51'), Forsythe (57')
Millar (80')
Cosgrove (39'), Randall (57'), Bonis (90+3')
Randall (59')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Crusaders
1-2
Larne
Wilson (89')
McDaid (59', 72')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Larne
1-2
Crusaders
Jarvis (74')
(45'), (59'), (66')
Larmour (68'), Lecky (82')
(59'), (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield85211651117
2Ballymena UnitedBallymena95041412215
3LarneLarne742193614
4CliftonvilleCliftonville94231310314
5Dungannon SwiftsDungannon942398114
6ColeraineColeraine8341139413
7GlentoranGlentoran941488013
8PortadownPortadown83321310312
9CrusadersCrusaders731357-210
10GlenavonGlenavon9234813-59
11Loughgall9126922-135
12Carrick RangersCarrick8107717-103


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