Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Ballymena United	Draw	Crusaders
18.15% ( 0.06)	22.99% ( 0.09)	58.86% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 48.63% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.75% (

-0.29)

50.25% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.79% (

-0.26)

72.21% (

0.26)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.41% (

-0.1)

41.58% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.93% (

-0.09)

78.07% (

0.09)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.24% (

-0.16)

16.76% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.31% (

-0.28)

46.69% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Ballymena United 18.15%

Crusaders 58.84%

Draw 22.99%

Ballymena United	Draw	Crusaders
1-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.15%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.99%	0-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.62% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.89% Total : 58.84%