UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Oct 11, 2020 at 5pm UK

Wembley Stadium

England
2 - 1
Belgium

Rashford (39' pen.), Mount (65')
Rice (32')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lukaku (16' pen.)
Meunier (38')

Declan Rice: 'England laid down a marker by beating Belgium'

England came from behind to defeat the number one ranked team in the world by FIFA at Wembley on Sunday.

Oct 12, 23:54

Marcus Rashford scores a penalty for England against Belgium in the Nations League on October 11, 2020

Marcus Rashford: 'Victory over Belgium will do a lot for England's confidence'

The Manchester United striker scored from the penalty spot in England's come-from-behind 2-1 win.

Oct 12, 10:05

Mason Mount celebrates scoring for England against Belgium in the Nations League on October 11, 2020

Gareth Southgate: 'England's win over Belgium shows youngsters what is possible'

The Three Lions recovered from a chastening start at Wembley to secure a 2-1 victory.

Oct 12, 08:53

England manager Gareth Southgate pictured on September 8, 2020

Gareth Southgate excited for England's future following Belgium victory

The hosts came from behind to win thanks to goals from Marcus Rashford and Mason Mount.

Oct 11, 21:08

A closer look at Marcus Rashford's performance against Belgium

Marcus Rashford scored England's equaliser from the penalty spot.

Oct 11, 19:41

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Belgium win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for England in this match.

Result
England	Draw	Belgium
53.67%	22.11%	24.22%

Both teams to score 60.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.27%

38.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.97%

61.03%

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.51%

14.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.52%

42.47%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.86%

29.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.93%

65.07%

Score Analysis

England 53.67%

Belgium 24.22%

Draw 22.11%

England	Draw	Belgium
2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 6.26% 3-0 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 3.86% 4-1 @ 3.02% 4-0 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.86% 5-1 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.29% Total : 53.67%	1-1 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 4.22% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.11%	1-2 @ 6.2% 0-1 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.27% Total : 24.22%