National League | Gameweek 23

Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Lner Community Stadium

York City
0 - 1
Dorking

Amos (52')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Blair (85')
Craig (37'), Carter (79')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between York City and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

Last Game: Southend 0-1 York City
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 1-3 Halifax
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

We said: York City 2-1 Dorking Wanderers

With just two points separating the two sides in the National League table, we expect Tuesday's encounter to be a close-fought contest. While fine margins should decide the fixture, we think that York will do enough to claim all three points against a Dorking side that has lost five of their last six matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
York City	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
46.41% ( -0.09)	24.99% ( 0.02)	28.6% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 54.82% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.82% (

-0.03)

48.18% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.66% (

-0.03)

70.34% (

0.03)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.2% (

-0.05)

20.8% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.54% (

-0.08)

53.46% (

0.09)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.22% (

0.04)

30.78% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.95% (

0.05)

67.05% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

York City 46.4%

Dorking Wanderers 28.6%

Draw 24.99%

York City	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.4%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.6%