Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
24.47% ( -0.32) | 22.45% ( 0.05) | 53.08% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 59.72% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.98% ( -0.56) | 40.02% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.61% ( -0.58) | 62.38% ( 0.58) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.37% ( -0.55) | 29.63% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.32% ( -0.67) | 65.68% ( 0.68) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.86% ( -0.11) | 15.14% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.29% ( -0.2) | 43.71% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
2-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.16% Total : 24.47% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 8% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.91% Total : 53.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 24 |
2 | York City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
4 | Rochdale | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Gateshead | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Eastleigh | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | Woking | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
16 | Tamworth | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 10 |
20 | Fylde | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
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