Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 57.04%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 21.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 1-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Eastleigh in this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
57.04% ( -0.02) | 21.21% ( 0) | 21.75% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.5% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.62% | 37.38% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.41% | 59.6% |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.01% ( -0.01) | 12.99% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.5% ( -0.01) | 39.51% ( 0.01) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.54% ( 0.01) | 30.46% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.33% ( 0.01) | 66.67% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.08% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.96% 4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.02% 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.86% Total : 57.04% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.96% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 21.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 38 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Barnet | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
4 | Gateshead | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Rochdale | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Eastleigh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Tamworth | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
18 | Fylde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
19 | Woking | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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