Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Oxford City |
44.36% ( -0.47) | 23.45% ( 0.27) | 32.19% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 62.23% ( -0.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.65% ( -1.21) | 39.35% ( 1.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.31% ( -1.27) | 61.68% ( 1.27) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.9% ( -0.67) | 18.09% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.97% ( -1.15) | 49.03% ( 1.16) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.98% ( -0.46) | 24.02% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.72% ( -0.67) | 58.28% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Oxford City |
2-1 @ 9.06% 1-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.73% Total : 44.36% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 25 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 60 | -43 | 9 |
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