Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.