National League | Gameweek 38

Apr 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Bob Lucas Stadium

Weymouth
1 - 6
Wrexham

Bearwish (20')
Buse (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Davies (47', 64'), Mullin (49', 83'), Jones (54'), Palmer (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Weymouth and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham have been a force to be reckoned with in recent months, and, even despite suffering a defeat last time out, they have the quality to cruise past the strugglers on Tuesday. The hosts are fighting for their lives, but any resurgence would now be too late, and we do not see them defying the odds against the formidable travellers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.61%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Weymouth win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Weymouth	Draw	Wrexham
17.07%	22.81%	60.12%

Both teams to score 47.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.89%

51.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.03%

72.96%

Weymouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.6%

43.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.37%

79.63%

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.38%

16.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.55%

46.45%

Score Analysis

Weymouth 17.07%

Wrexham 60.11%

Draw 22.8%

Weymouth	Draw	Wrexham
1-0 @ 6.02% 2-1 @ 4.51% 2-0 @ 2.51% 3-1 @ 1.26% 3-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.65% Total : 17.07%	1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 7.21% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.74% Total : 22.8%	0-1 @ 12.94% 0-2 @ 11.61% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-3 @ 6.95% 1-3 @ 5.8% 0-4 @ 3.12% 1-4 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-5 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 1.09% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.84% Total : 60.11%