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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Torquay United
National League | Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Plainmoor Ground
Dagenham & Redbridge

Torquay Utd
1 - 2
Dag & Red

Jarvis (45+1')
Dawson (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Effiong (78' pen., 90+5')
Onariase (35'), Hare (56'), Sagaf (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Torquay United and Dagenham & Redbridge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions
Last Game: Gateshead 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions
Last Game: Dag & Red 1-1 Oldham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

We said: Torquay United 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge

 Despite Dag & Red realistically having little to play for between now and the end of the season, their players will be determined to impress their new manager, which should ensure that they remain professional and motivated until the off-season begins. However, Torquay are scrapping for every point that they can possibly collect as they attempt to avoid dropping into the sixth tier once again, but they may have to settle for a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Dagenham & Redbridge in this match.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawDagenham & Redbridge
35.79% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 24.36% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 39.85% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.98% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.26% (0.082000000000001 0.08)42.74% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.86% (0.079999999999998 0.08)65.15% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.59% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.34% (0.0039999999999978 0)57.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (0.075999999999993 0.08)21.51% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.44% (0.116 0.12)54.56% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 35.79%
    Dagenham & Redbridge 39.85%
    Draw 24.36%
Torquay UnitedDrawDagenham & Redbridge
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.33% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 35.79%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 39.85%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Dag & Red
0-1
Torquay Utd
Goodwin (41')
Halstead (90')
May 2, 2022 3pm
Dag & Red
0-0
Torquay Utd

McCallum (68')

Lapslie (38'), Felix (65'), Wynter (72'), Lolos (80')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Torquay Utd
2-2
Dag & Red
Hall (1'), Wright (12')
Walker (29'), Balanta (71')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Dag & Red
1-0
Torquay Utd
Balanta (80')
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Torquay Utd
0-1
Dag & Red
McCallum (14')
Brundle (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City1610512891935
2Forest Green RoversForest Green16104229131634
3Barnet16110534201433
4Gateshead1610332819933
5Oldham AthleticOldham168622517830
6Rochdale1683525151027
7Yeovil TownYeovil167452015525
8Solihull MoorsSolihull167362325-224
9AltrinchamAltrincham166552320323
10Halifax TownHalifax166551816223
11Eastleigh166552423123
12Sutton UnitedSutton166462424022
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red165652617921
14Southend UnitedSouthend165652019121
15Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool165651516-121
16Tamworth166371927-821
17Aldershot TownAldershot164662125-418
18Woking164571823-517
19Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead164482026-616
20Fylde164392036-1615
21Braintree TownBraintree163491119-813
22WealdstoneWealdstone162681425-1112
23Boston UnitedBoston1624101529-1410
24Ebbsfleet1614111436-227
> National League Full Table


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