National League | Gameweek 23

Jan 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Ten Acres

Eastleigh
3 - 2
Weymouth

Barnett (40'), Maghoma (64'), Whitehall (90+3')
Hill (84'), McDonnell (90+1')
Hesketh (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McQuoid (79'), Goodship (88')
McQuoid (55')

The Match

Preview

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We said: Eastleigh 3-1 Weymouth

With Weymouth struggling in the league, we think that Eastleigh will have enough quality to ease to their seventh home win of the National League season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 18.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.

Result
Eastleigh	Draw	Weymouth
58.88%	22.68%	18.43%

Both teams to score 50.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.42%

48.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.3%

70.7%

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.84%

16.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.39%

45.61%

Weymouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.73%

40.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.1%

76.9%

Score Analysis

Eastleigh 58.88%

Weymouth 18.43%

Draw 22.67%

Eastleigh	Draw	Weymouth
1-0 @ 11.86% 2-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 6.57% 3-1 @ 5.97% 4-0 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-2 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.09% Total : 58.88%	1-1 @ 10.78% 0-0 @ 6.51% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.67%	0-1 @ 5.92% 1-2 @ 4.91% 0-2 @ 2.69% 1-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.07% Total : 18.43%