Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Chesterfield |
25.06% (![]() | 22.18% (![]() | 52.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.85% (![]() | 38.15% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.57% (![]() | 60.42% (![]() |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% (![]() | 28.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.14% (![]() | 63.85% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.41% (![]() | 14.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.34% (![]() | 42.66% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 6.35% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 3.56% Total : 25.06% | 1-1 @ 10.02% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.11% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.18% | 1-2 @ 9.65% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.61% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 63 | 31 | 32 | 67 |
2 | York City | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 63 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 62 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 56 |
5 | Gateshead | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 52 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 51 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 49 |
8 | Rochdale | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 44 |
9 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 32 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 44 |
10 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 43 |
11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 42 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 42 |
13 | Eastleigh | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 41 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 39 |
15 | Tamworth | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 39 |
16 | Woking | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 35 |
17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 34 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 34 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 30 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 29 |
22 | Fylde | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 36 | 60 | -24 | 29 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 20 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 32 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 21 | 69 | -48 | 13 |
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