National League | Gameweek 27

Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Crabble Athletic Ground

Dover Athletic
0 - 1
Southend

Krasniqi (45'), Goodman (53'), Judd (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Husin (73')
Ralph (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Dover Athletic and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Dover Athletic 1-2 Southend United

Dover will have been boosted by their win last time out, but we fancy Southend to collect all three points here. The Blues appear to have turned a corner following a difficult run, and we are expecting the visitors to secure a vital win at Dover's expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 19.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.15%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Southend United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southend United.

Result
Dover Athletic	Draw	Southend United
19.33%	24.53%	56.14%

Both teams to score 46.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.44%

54.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.09%

75.91%

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.27%

42.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.94%

79.06%

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.66%

19.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.88%

51.12%

Score Analysis

Dover Athletic 19.34%

Southend United 56.13%

Draw 24.52%

Dover Athletic	Draw	Southend United
1-0 @ 7.03% 2-1 @ 4.91% 2-0 @ 2.99% 3-1 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.88% Total : 19.34%	1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 8.27% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.52%	0-1 @ 13.57% 0-2 @ 11.15% 1-2 @ 9.48% 0-3 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 5.19% 0-4 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 2.13% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.86% Total : 56.13%