National League | Gameweek 13

Nov 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Roots Hall

Southend
4 - 1
Dover Athletic

Murphy (30', 35' pen.), Dalby (59'), Bridge (73')
Brunt (51')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hanson (69')
Hanson (26'), Collinge (37'), Parkes (40')

Coverage of the National League clash between Southend United and Dover Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.

Result
Southend United	Draw	Dover Athletic
60.79%	21.35%	17.86%

Both teams to score 53.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.24%

43.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.85%

66.16%

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.07%

13.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.61%

41.39%

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.9%

38.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.14%

74.86%

Score Analysis

Southend United 60.79%

Dover Athletic 17.86%

Draw 21.34%

Southend United	Draw	Dover Athletic
1-0 @ 10.46% 2-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 6.54% 4-0 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-2 @ 1.56% 5-0 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.91% Total : 60.79%	1-1 @ 10.09% 0-0 @ 5.31% 2-2 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.34%	0-1 @ 5.12% 1-2 @ 4.87% 0-2 @ 2.47% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.29% Total : 17.86%