Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesterfield in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chesterfield.
Result | ||
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Chesterfield |
31.23% ( 0.02) | 24.17% ( -0.09) | 44.6% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 59.19% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.85% ( 0.44) | 43.15% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.45% ( 0.43) | 65.55% ( -0.43) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.55% ( 0.23) | 26.45% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.37% ( 0.3) | 61.63% ( -0.3) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.47% ( 0.21) | 19.53% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.58% ( 0.34) | 51.42% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 31.23% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.13% Total : 44.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 24 |
2 | York City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
4 | Rochdale | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Gateshead | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Eastleigh | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | Woking | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
16 | Tamworth | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 10 |
20 | Fylde | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
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