Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.67%) and 3-1 (5.35%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
Worthing	Draw	Torquay United
43.78% ( 0.19)	22.15% ( -0.05)	34.07% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 67.93% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.8% (

0.24)

32.2% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.2% (

0.28)

53.8% (

-0.27)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.52% (

0.17)

15.48% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.63% (

0.3)

44.37% (

-0.3)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.37% (

0.05)

19.63% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.42% (

0.08)

51.58% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Worthing 43.78%

Torquay United 34.07%

Draw 22.15%

Worthing	Draw	Torquay United
2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.12% Total : 43.78%	1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.15%	1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 34.07%