Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungerford Town would win this match.
