Chorley

4 - 3

Curzon Ashton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 13.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.