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Seattle Sounders
Major League Soccer
Oct 20, 2024 at 2am UK
CenturyLink Field
Portland Timbers

Seattle
1 - 1
Portland

Gomez Andrade (37')
Tolo (23'), Rothrock (59'), Vargas (65'), Rusnak (69')
Vargas (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Antony (68')
Neville (24'), Rodriguez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 0-1 Seattle
Sunday, October 6 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 0-0 Dallas
Monday, October 7 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 1-1 Portland Timbers

Based on their recent form, Seattle Sounders are the favourites in this clash, but Portland Timbers have historically performed well in this fixture and have shown defensive resilience in recent matches, which is why we are predicting a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 58.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 20.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawPortland Timbers
58.25% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06) 21.38% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 20.36% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 57.71% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.93% (0.093000000000004 0.09)40.06% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.56% (0.097000000000001 0.1)62.43% (-0.102 -0.1)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.49% (0.010999999999996 0.01)13.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.45% (0.027000000000001 0.03)40.54% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72% (0.11 0.11)33.28% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1% (0.12 0.12)69.89% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 58.25%
    Portland Timbers 20.36%
    Draw 21.38%
Seattle SoundersDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 58.25%
1-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.38%
1-2 @ 5.45% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 20.36%

How you voted: Seattle vs Portland

Seattle Sounders
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Portland Timbers
12.5%
8
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 9.45pm
Portland
1-2
Seattle
Mora (15')
Zuparic (66')
Roldan (19'), Ruidiaz (50')
Tolo (55')
Sep 3, 2023 3.30am
Seattle
2-2
Portland
Ruidiaz (9'), Chu (30')
Chu (30'), Paulo (76')
Chu (53')
Asprilla (67'), Evander (70')
Asprilla (68'), Blanco (81'), Zuparic (90+4')
Jun 3, 2023 9.30pm
Seattle
0-0
Portland
Ragen (90+2')
Chara (7'), Bravo (70'), Paredes (79')
Apr 16, 2023 3.30am
rhs 2.0
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