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Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
LA Galaxy

Portland
4 - 2
LA Galaxy

Rodriguez (18'), Evander (39', 51'), Mora (80')
Zuparic (13'), Crepeau (45'), Ayala (52')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pec (45+3'), Paintsil (59')
Brugman (45+2'), Yoshida (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-1 Portland
Sunday, September 15 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

 LA Galaxy, despite their impressive season and top position in the Western Conference, have shown some vulnerability away from home whilst Portland Timbers, motivated by the need to secure a playoff spot and buoyed by their strong home form, will be eager to exploit LA Galaxy's recent away inconsistencies. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
45.93% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 22.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 31.78% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 66.37% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.17% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.84% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.68% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66% (0.010999999999996 0.01)15.34% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.9% (0.021999999999998 0.02)44.1% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.4% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)21.6% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)54.7% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 45.93%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 31.78%
    Draw 22.29%
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 6.21%
2-0 @ 5.82% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 4.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.64% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 45.93%
1-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 2.18%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 31.78%

How you voted: Portland vs LA Galaxy

Portland Timbers
46.7%
Draw
20.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy
33.3%
30
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2024 3.45am
LA Galaxy
3-2
Portland
Pec (38'), Puig (48'), Paintsil (58')
Nelson (90'), Berry (90+6')
Rodriguez (52'), Moreno (73')
Evander (14'), Chara (42'), Zuparic (62'), Miller (90+5'), Rodriguez (90+9')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
3-3
Portland
Zavaleta (10', 45+1'), Costa (43')
Delgado (13'), Yoshida (54')
Moreno (5'), Zavaleta (38' og.), Mora (76')
Moreno (62')
> Preview
Mar 25, 2023 8.30pm
Portland
0-0
LA Galaxy
> Preview
Jun 18, 2022 10pm
LA Galaxy
1-1
Portland
Joveljic (88')
DePuy (37'), Grandsir (58'), Joveljic (89')
Chara (38')
Mabiala (10'), Fogaca (76')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2022 9.30pm
Portland
1-3
LA Galaxy
Tuiloma (51')
Blanco (48'), Chara (90+2')
Bonilla (45+3')
Hernandez (9', 59'), Tuiloma (17' og.)
Raveloson (45+4'), DePuy (48'), Delgado (50'), Hernandez (57'), Vazquez (90+3')
Delgado (61')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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