Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 1

Feb 27, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Jeld-Wen Field

Portland
2 - 2
New England

Asprilla (60'), Chara (78')
van Rankin (22'), Asprilla (28'), Tuiloma (53'), Bravo (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bye (41'), Lletget (63')
McNamara (70'), Polster (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Portland Timbers 1-1 New England Revolution

Two of last season's best performers going head-to-head in the season opener will likely yield a fascinating prospect, but there is the fear that they could cancel each other out. Expect the Revolution to display the class that saw them top the MLS overall table last season by escaping Portland with some points to show. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	New England Revolution
49.25%	23.25%	27.49%

Both teams to score 59.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.89%

41.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.49%

63.5%

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.12%

16.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.09%

46.91%

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07%

27.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.44%

63.56%

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 49.26%

New England Revolution 27.49%

Draw 23.24%

Portland Timbers	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 7.46% 3-1 @ 5.64% 3-0 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 2.51% 4-0 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.14% Total : 49.26%	1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.24%	1-2 @ 6.82% 0-1 @ 6.01% 0-2 @ 3.84% 1-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.63% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.49%