Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.