Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.