Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.