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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Oct 20, 2024 at 2am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium
Sporting Kansas

Dallas
2 - 1
Kansas

Musa (16'), Fernandez (40' og.)
Musa (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Agade (89')
Leibold (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 0-0 Dallas
Monday, October 7 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 0-3 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 6 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 2-0 Sporting Kansas City

With nothing at stake here, we expect to see several fringe players in action for Dallas and Sporting Kansas City as they look to end the season on a high. Dallas' home advantage gives them a slight upper hand and we fancy them to come away with all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dallas in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dallas.

Result
DallasDrawSporting Kansas City
51.12% (-0.588 -0.59) 22.63% (0.134 0.13) 26.25% (0.457 0.46)
Both teams to score 60.98% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.81% (-0.221 -0.22)39.18% (0.223 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.48% (-0.232 -0.23)61.51% (0.235 0.23)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)15.5% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.59% (-0.527 -0.53)44.4% (0.528 0.53)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.22200000000001 0.22)27.82% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (0.278 0.28)63.42% (-0.277 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 51.12%
    Sporting Kansas City 26.25%
    Draw 22.62%
DallasDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.96% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 51.12%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.31% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 6.58% (0.086 0.09)
0-1 @ 5.52% (0.091 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.079 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 26.25%

How you voted: Dallas vs Kansas

Dallas
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Sporting Kansas City
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Jul 8, 2024 1.30am
Kansas
3-2
Dallas
Agade (11', 23'), Rodriguez (82')
Castellanos (15'), Bassong (85')
Bassong (90+4')
Melia (30' og.), Musa (65')
Arriola (90+6')
Jun 1, 2023 2.35am
Kansas
2-1
Dallas
Kinda (41'), Salloi (60')
Ndenbe (37')
Ferreira (90+1')
Cerrillo (90+3')
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
Oct 9, 2022 10pm
May 1, 2022 1.30am
rhs 2.0
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