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Manchester United logo
Premier League | Gameweek 37
Apr 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Old Trafford
Chelsea logo

Man Utd
1 - 1
Chelsea

Ronaldo (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alonso (60')
Rudiger (87')

Preview: Manchester United vs. Chelsea - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Manchester United and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Manchester United will aim to keep their fleeting hopes of a top-four Premier League finish alive when Chelsea make the journey to Old Trafford on Thursday night.

The Red Devils went down 3-1 to Arsenal at the weekend, while Thomas Tuchel's men left it late to overcome London rivals West Ham United 1-0.


Match preview

Bukayo Saka scores for Arsenal against Manchester United on April 23, 2022© Reuters

In spite of fleeting optimism that the appointment of Erik ten Hag could galvanise the Man United players - some of whom may be playing for their futures at the club under the new boss - the Red Devils once again lost ground in the race for Champions League football to a direct top-four rival at the Emirates.

Cristiano Ronaldo's 100th Premier League goal after a tragic week was a nice touch for the 37-year-old, but Nuno Tavares, Bukayo Saka and Granit Xhaka struck in a 3-1 success for the Gunners, who certainly rode their luck as Bruno Fernandes missed from the spot in the second half.

Taking just four points from 15 on offer since the start of the month and losing three of their last four means that Man United are at risk of dropping out of the European places entirely never mind a Champions League pursuit, with Ralf Rangnick's side now sixth in the rankings and six points behind Arsenal having played a game more.

West Ham are also breathing down the necks of Man United, and reports are starting to emerge of Rangnick allegedly losing the dressing room at Old Trafford, but the Red Devils can at least take a slice of confidence from their domestic home form ahead of Thursday's game.

Indeed, Rangnick's men have strung together a seven-game Premier League unbeaten run at Old Trafford - following a pattern of winning one and then drawing one on home soil - and not since the days of Louis Van Gaal in 2015 have they suffered a trio of consecutive defeats in the top flight.

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel looking frustrated during the Premier League game with Arsenal on April 20, 2022.© Reuters

Chelsea can empathise with their upcoming opponents after also conceding multiple goals in a recent defeat to Arsenal, and Tuchel also witnessed his side fail to convert from 12 yards at the weekend, with Jorginho's trademark hop, skip and jump effort falling kindly into the gloves of Lukasz Fabianski.

Just when it seemed like it was going to be another frustrating afternoon at the office for Chelsea, substitute Christian Pulisic was in the right place at the right time to convert in the 90th minute and ensure that the Blues would remain in the driving seat for a third-placed finish.

Chelsea could now open up an eight-point gap to fourth-placed Arsenal should they win their game in hand on Thursday night, and victory at Old Trafford would certainly give the Blues a healthy buffer before meeting Leeds United, Everton, Leicester City, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Watford before the season is done and dusted.

There is also the small matter of the FA Cup final to come for Chelsea, whose off-field distractions may be starting to affect the players somewhat, but they have strung together an impressive nine-game winning run away from home in all competitions, including each of their last four in the top flight.

Michael Carrick did manage to hold Chelsea to a 1-1 draw with his Man United side at Stamford Bridge earlier in the season, with that stalemate stretching the Blues' winless league run against the Red Devils to eight matches since a 1-0 home win in 2017, and it has been nine years since the capital side last won a top-flight match at the Theatre of Dreams.

Manchester United Premier League form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Manchester United form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Chelsea Premier League form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Chelsea form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Manchester United's Paul Pogba as he is being substituted on April 19, 2022© Reuters

While Man United were boosted by the return of Raphael Varane from injury in the defeat to Arsenal, Paul Pogba, Edinson Cavani and Luke Shaw - the former of whom has likely played his final game for the club - remain on the sidelines alongside new absentees Harry Maguire (knee) and Jadon Sancho (illness).

Fred will not be back in time for the visit of the European champions either, but Rangnick should consider a recall to the first XI for Marcus Rashford and Victor Lindelof with Maguire and Sancho now out of contention.

Both Jesse Lingard and Juan Mata can feel confident of challenging Fernandes for a place in the side after the Portuguese's recent struggles, while Alex Telles was at fault for two of Arsenal's goals at the weekend but is unlikely to drop out with Shaw out of contention.

Meanwhile, Chelsea have long-term absentees of their own who will not be available for the contest in Ben Chilwell and Callum Hudson-Odoi, while Mateo Kovacic's ankle problem will take a little longer to heal.

Andreas Christensen was pulled from the squad to face West Ham at the last minute due to stomach cramps but should be available here, while Antonio Rudiger and Reece James should both have good chances of returning too.

With Tuchel potentially opting to save the rotations for the clash with relegation-threatened Everton, Pulisic may be one of the few players on the bench at the weekend considered for a start at Old Trafford if Timo Werner drops out of the XI.

Manchester United possible starting lineup:
De Gea; Dalot, Varane, Lindelof, Telles; McTominay, Matic; Elanga, Fernandes, Rashford; Ronaldo

Chelsea possible starting lineup:
Mendy; Chalobah, Silva, Rudiger; Azpilicueta, Kante, Jorginho, Alonso; Mount, Pulisic; Havertz


SM words green background

We say: Manchester United 0-1 Chelsea

A return to home comforts and Chelsea's miserable streak in the league at Old Trafford will work in Man United's favour, but it is difficult to picture the Red Devils getting a result against many sides in their current form.

While United have posted a respectable set of results at home, Chelsea have enjoyed win after win on the road, and we can only envisage the Blues ending their Old Trafford hoodoo to further dent Rangnick's top-four aspirations.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Man Utd vs Chelsea

Manchester United
26.5%
Draw
15.7%
Chelsea
57.7%
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Bukayo Saka scores for Arsenal against Manchester United on April 23, 2022
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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