MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:06:49| >> :60:55:55:
Houston Dynamo
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Nov 3, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Houston
1 - 1
Seattle

Roldan (90+3' og.)
Escobar (14'), Herrera (65'), Olsen (67'), Artur (79'), Dorsey (85')
Herrera (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Roldan (87')
Tolo (85')
Seattle win 7-6 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Houston (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 29 at 12.50am in MLS Playoffs

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Houston (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 29 at 12.50am in MLS Playoffs

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-0 Seattle Sounders

 Given both teams' tight defensive records, the two strongest in the Western Conference this term, and the tight nature of the first fixture on Tuesday, we anticipate another close contest at the weekend which could be settled by a single goal. Needing a victory to keep their hopes alive, we back Houston Dynamo to make home advantage count and take the tie to a decider with a first victory over Seattle Sounders since 2021. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawSeattle Sounders
45.53% (-1.398 -1.4) 24.25% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 30.22% (1.344 1.34)
Both teams to score 58.36% (0.682 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56% (0.52 0.52)43.99% (-0.521 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.62% (0.503 0.5)66.38% (-0.505 -0.5)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52% (-0.376 -0.38)19.48% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (-0.615 -0.62)51.34% (0.613 0.61)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (1.178 1.18)27.52% (-1.18 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (1.496 1.5)63.03% (-1.498 -1.5)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 45.53%
    Seattle Sounders 30.22%
    Draw 24.24%
Houston DynamoDrawSeattle Sounders
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.306 -0.31)
2-0 @ 7.17% (-0.339 -0.34)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 45.53%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.118 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.36% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.228 0.23)
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.19 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.197 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.132 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.142 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 30.22%

How you voted: Houston vs Seattle

Houston Dynamo
33.3%
Draw
40.0%
Seattle Sounders
26.7%
15
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2024 12.50am
MLS Cup Round One
Seattle
0-0
Houston
(Aggregate 0-0 | Seattle win 5-4 on penalties)
Paulo (61'), Gomez Andrade (63'), Leyva (72'), Rothrock (83')
Herrera (55')
Carrasquilla (66')
> Preview
Sep 29, 2024 3.30am
Seattle
1-0
Houston
Rothrock (22')
Gomez Andrade (63')

Dorsey (28'), Escobar (50'), Carrasquilla (78')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2024 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Seattle
Blessing (30', 40')
Ibrahim (6'), Raines (89'), Steres (90+3')
Rothrock (58'), Ragen (63')
Ruidiaz (90+4')
> Preview
Jul 2, 2023 3.30am
Seattle
1-0
Houston
Rusnak (67')
Cissoko (18'), Baker (54')

Olsen (19'), Micael (61'), Caicedo (89'), Sviatchenko (90+5')
> Preview
May 14, 2023 1.30am
Houston
0-1
Seattle
Rothrock (87')
> Preview
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