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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 44
Jul 14, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
QPR logo

Luton
1 - 1
QPR

Collins (20' pen.)
Ruddock (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ball (65')

Preview: Luton Town vs. Queens Park Rangers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Queens Park Rangers, including team news and predicted lineups.

Luton Town will be looking to build on a big victory last time out and climb out of the Championship relegation zone when they take on Queens Park Rangers in midweek.

The Hatters beat Huddersfield Town 2-0 on Friday and are now within two points of safety, while QPR lost for a fifth time in six games and are down in 16th.


Match preview

Luton Town's Sonny Bradley scores against Huddersfield Town in the Championship on July 10, 2020© Reuters

Luton looked dead and buried after losing 5-0 at home to Reading a little over a week ago, a result that left them bottom of the table and four points adrift of safety.

A 1-1 home draw against Barnsley did little to ease their relegation concerns, but Friday's victory against fellow strugglers Huddersfield has given them plenty of hope.

Helped by teams around them struggling to pick up wins, Town are now potentially just one victory away from climbing out of the bottom three for the first time since before Christmas.

Indeed, given that Wigan Athletic are facing a 12-point deduction for entering administration, finishing in 22nd place - currently occupied by Hull City, one point better off - may be enough for Luton.

Nathan Jones will be targeting all three points on Tuesday evening when a QPR side with no real sense of direction visit Kenilworth Road.

Queens Park Rangers forward Jordan Hugill celebrates scoring against Middlesbrough on July 5, 2020© Reuters

The Rs were six points off the playoffs when the Championship resumed last month, but three points from 18 since the restart leaves them 11 points adrift.

Indeed, the gap on the relegation zone is now only eight points following the 3-0 loss to Sheffield Wednesday on Saturday, so they are now looking over their shoulder.

Only Birmingham City are in worse form than QPR, though they have performed better on their travels than at home of late.

Mark Warburton's men have lost only two of their last six away matches, recording victories away at Preston North End and Middlesbrough in that run.

One more win will make certain of a mid-table finish for QPR, but Warburton now faces a battle getting supporters back on his side following this alarming slump in form.

Warburton described his players as "boyish" in their home loss to Sheffield Wednesday at the weekend. A similar display on Tuesday and QPR really will be in serious trouble.

Luton Town's Championship form: DWDLDW

Queens Park Rangers' Championship form: LLLWLL


Team News

Queens Park Rangers winger Bright Osayi-Samuel pictured in January 2020© Reuters

Kazenga LuaLua recovered from a knee injury in time to feature from the bench against Huddersfield and is pushing for a recall here.

Martin Cranie dropped to the bench last time out, while Harry Cornick was recalled up top.

After picking up such an impressive win in Yorkshire, Jones may well be tempted to go with the same XI for the second match running.

As for QPR, Jordan Hugill has missed the last couple of games with a knock and remains doubtful for this trip to Kenilworth Road.

Warburton went with three at the back against Sheffield Wednesday, meaning that Todd Kane dropped to the bench, but he may revert back to a 4-2-3-1 for this one.

That could mean a recall for Olamide Shodipo alongside Bright Osayi-Samuel, who has five goals and seven assists in the Championship this season.

Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Sluga; Bree, Carter-Vickers, Bradley, Potts; Mpanzu; Shinnie, Berry, Lee; Collins, Cornick

Queens Park Rangers possible starting lineup:
Lumley; Kane, Kakay, Barbet, Manning; Cameron, Ball; Oteh, Chair, Eze; Samuel


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Luton Town 1-2 Queens Park Rangers

Luton have given themselves a real shot at dodging the drop thanks to their win over Huddersfield. They have failed to win any of their last four home matches, however, while QPR have won two of their last four on their travels, so we are backing the visitors to edge this one.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.


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Luton manager Nathan Jones pictured on June 27, 2020
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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