Ligue 2 | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade du Hainaut
Valenciennes1 - 4Auxerre
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Valenciennes and Auxerre.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Etienne 2-0 Valenciennes
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-2 Auxerre
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valenciennes | Draw | Auxerre |
38.09% ( 1.49) | 27.55% ( 0.03) | 34.36% ( -1.51) |
Both teams to score 49.06% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.36% ( -0.19) | 56.64% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.39% ( -0.15) | 77.6% ( 0.15) |
Valenciennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.2% ( 0.8) | 28.8% ( -0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.35% ( 0.98) | 64.64% ( -0.98) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.9% ( -1.05) | 31.1% ( 1.06) |