Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 66.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
